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Discussion

Discussion on Article:
Analysts Forecast Apple’s Share in Desktop to Soar.

Started by: 223 | Date 03/22/05 03:58:50 PM
Comments: 2 | Last Comment:  03/24/05 05:51:12 PM

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1. 
What have you guys been smoking?
Has anyone done statistics and probability?

You folks do realise Morgan Stanley don't know what their doing...400 folks is not a survey. Its a drop in the ocean. If the survey was done with 2 million users, then its a different story.

The survey is skewed because they just asked iPod owners! iPod sales does not equal to Mac sales!

Also, those considering to buy a Mac does not mean they're get one (you don't know). They may look at the prices and the fine-print and think: "Ouch, that's gonna cost me, maybe not."

What you also haven't realised, once you buy a Mac, have a look at what you have to go through if you want to get it repaired!

Apple makes it such that you are put in a situation where its not worth repairing or upgrading a Mac, but to buy a new one! Its like a VCR, its cheaper to replace it with a new one. (Although, its NOT cheap to buy a new Mac!)

This is like when US folks were surveyed and a large majority preferred "the other guy" months before the Election day...Days before the election, it was virtually 50-50...And then George Bush won!

If surveys can be wrong (because the extremely small sample taken and as proven by Elections in the past year), would you trust a prediction based on such a survey?

I was expecting XbitLabs to be smart enough to know not to fall for this marketing bullshit.But I was wrong.

I suggest you repeat the poll again, and see the results, a few months after the initial "ooh wow, Mac Mini" fever has settled in.

Human behaviour isn't fixed, its dynamic. People say they consider a product, but it doesn't mean they'll actually buy one! That's what surveys don't show! The factors that may effect the overall buying decision!
[Posted by: 223 | Date: 03/22/05 03:58:50 PM]

2. 
I've heard this said many times before over the course of the past 20 years. Given their current position in the market, I think we can say that past performance has significantly fallen short of the predictions. I'll believe it when I see it.
[Posted by: Claud | Date: 03/24/05 05:51:12 PM]

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