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While the market for high-definition TV (HDTV) has hit the mainstream, the industry has already started speculating about the commercialization of ultra-high definition (UHD) resolutions and appropriate TV-sets (UHDTVs). The incoming of higher resolution standard will create a new ecosystem of consumer electronics as well as new challenges for developers.

As originally proposed, UHD comes in two levels of resolution: 7680x4320 pixels (33.1MP), and 3840x2160 (8.2MP), which is considerably higher than full-HD resolution (1920x1080 or 2MP) today. In addition, UHD may improve audio dramatically and enable 22.2 multi-channel three-dimensional sound.

“UHD formats provide between four and sixteen times the resolution of Blu-ray or 1080p high definition as well as 22.2 multichannel three-dimensional sound. This is a vast improvement over the currently available end user viewing experience in the home,” said Michelle Abraham, an analyst with In-Stat market research firm.

Just like high-definition did several years ago, UHD will require a brand new infrastructure consisting of new TV-sets and monitors, video players and projectors, audio receivers and speaker systems and, perhaps, even a new optical format to distribute UHD content. Still, it will take a lot of time between HD will be challenged by UHD: the timeframe for the emergence of the latter is believed to be between 2017 and 2022.

The rising popularity of high resolution digital cinema will expose consumers to high resolution content. Then, early UHDTVs will be made available to provide a digital cinema high resolution viewing experience in the home. Ultimately, broadcasters will start offering UHD content to an addressable market of UHDTVs, between 2017 and 2022.

In-Stat believes there will be a lengthy time period before the UHD market reaches a critical mass of 5% household penetration. However, as the initial market debuts over the next five to ten years, there will be ample opportunities for technology companies, manufacturers, service providers and media companies to experiment with business models and strategies to make UHD a strong business in the long term.

In-Stat expects the total installed base of UHDTVs in Europe to approach 5% household penetration until 2021, and increase to over 28.2% penetration by 2025.  In Asia-Pacific, Japan will be among the early adopter countries.

Tags: UHD, UHDTV, HDTV, Blu-ray

Discussion

Comments currently: 7
Discussion started: 11/03/09 02:35:46 PM
Latest comment: 11/05/09 11:48:05 PM
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1. 
Is my apartment going to get bigger too?
At 1080p and my viewing distance of 8 feet I would need a 50'' TV to notice the full benefits of 1080p.
Clearly this is only for the richest.
0 0 [Posted by: uibo  | Date: 11/03/09 02:35:46 PM]
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2. 
I'd bet against that. There are sharply diminishing returns. Resolution beyond 1080p is no longer an important limiting factor in video quality. And number of speakers beyond whatever that number is these days. Without a real improvement in quality, you rely on marketing and misinformation to sell products. That seems to be what In-Stat's study is rather than real research.
0 0 [Posted by: CSMR  | Date: 11/03/09 02:37:16 PM]
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3. 
Please tell me that this is a super early April Fools joke!

Are In-Stat shares traded publicly? I'd like to short them. They're clueless!
0 0 [Posted by: guney  | Date: 11/04/09 02:47:35 PM]
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4. 
UHD may improve audio dramatically and enable 22.2 multi-channel three-dimensional sound

You can't use the word dramatically to indicate improvement. Use the word "drastically". Dramatically by definition is change to the worse.
0 0 [Posted by: Mastrom  | Date: 11/05/09 12:59:33 AM]
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- collapse thread

 
You can't use the word dramatically to indicate improvement. Use the word "drastically". Dramatically by definition is change to the worse.


If there's one thing worse than pedants who have nothing better to do than correct people's grammar, it's pedants who correct people's grammar incorrectly! If you'd bothered to look up the word "dramatic" in a dictionary, you'd see something along the lines of:

"dra?mat?ic
??/dr??mæt?k/ Show Spelled Pronunciation [druh-mat-ik]

–adjective
1. of or pertaining to the drama.
2. employing the form or manner of the drama.
3. characteristic of or appropriate to the drama, esp. in involving conflict or contrast; vivid; moving: dramatic colors; a dramatic speech.
4. highly effective; striking: The silence following his impassioned speech was dramatic."

So to sum up - absolutely no mention of its use solely in a negative context. In short, get your facts straight next time before criticising other people!!
0 0 [Posted by: Jumbojim  | Date: 11/05/09 05:49:54 AM]
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5. 
Well I can see their 2160p making some sense... There are quite a lot people that have huge screens even today. Not that I think one really needs them, but they are fun. On these huge screens I think a lille better res makes sense. Not a lot though - you're not sitting right in front of these screens, but at a fair bit of a distance, so there's a limit to what you can resolve.

I think they should up the frame rate first and make sure it's p not i.
At our local video store they show a national geographic Blue ray on a huge screen. It's a disaster! Yea, when the image is still it looks pretty cool, but when the camera moves the image jitters like hell.
But then again most people don't realize, they just see it's huge and HD so it gotta be great.
God blessed the stupid.
M.
0 0 [Posted by: mschira  | Date: 11/05/09 02:50:06 AM]
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6. 
3-D and framerate up first, then you can think about UHD
like Philips system:
http://www.wired.com/scie...veries/news/2006/08/71627
0 0 [Posted by: CyberAngel  | Date: 11/05/09 11:48:05 PM]
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