Despite some high-profile product introductions, consumer demand for televisions with the ultra-high-definition (UHD) 4K resolution [3840*2160] will remain negligible for the foreseeable future, with shipments never accounting for more than 1% of the global liquid crystal display (LCD) TV market during the next five years.
“If you have a television that is 60" or larger and are watching video that has a 3840*2160 resolution, then a 4K television makes sense. However, a very limited amount of content is available at the 4K resolution. Meanwhile, because of high prices and other issues, the market for super-sized, 60" and larger TV-sets is very small, at only about 1.5% of total television shipments in 2012. Furthermore, for most people, the [1920*1080] resolution is good enough. Because of these factors, combined with the massive price tags, the market for 4K TV-sets during the next few years will be limited to very wealthy consumers or to commercial uses,” said Tom Morrod, director, TV systems and technology research for IHS.
Worldwide shipments of 4K LCD-TVs will rise to 2.1 million units in 2017, up from 4000 in 2012, according to an IHS iSuppli. Despite the large increase over the years, 4K will account for only 0.8% of the global LCD-TV shipments by 2017.
The 4K television segment recently has garnered attention with Sony Corp. announcing an 84" 4K LCD-TV priced at $25 000. LG Electronics also launched an 84" LCD-TV for $20 000. Toshiba Corp. is offering a 55" model priced at $10 000. Chinese brands Hisense and Konka have also announced that they will launch 84" 4K TV-sets this year. However, IHS believes that neither consumers nor television brands will have the interest required to make the 4K LCD-TV market successful.
On the other side of the equation, leading television brands may be viewing 4K LCD-TVs merely as a transitional product. Once AMOLED panels are used inside HDTV, 4K resolution will be easier to enable on large-sized screens. Therefore the 4K HDTV will only hit mainstream price-points when AMOLED technology becomes viable and cost-efficient enough for large panels.
“The 4K sets can fill the gap at the high-end of television brands’ product lines until the arrival of the next-generation active-matrix organic light-emitting diodes televisions (AMOLED TVs). Japanese brands are offering 4K product because they need to have a competitive alternative to the AMOLED TVs being sold by their rivals in South Korea, Samsung and LG Electronics. Meanwhile, the South Korean companies are having difficulties producing AMOLED panels, saying they will need two more years to achieve competitive volume and pricing. Therefore, the Korean brands are offering 4K sets as a transitional step until their AMOLED televisions are more widely available,” explained Mr. Morrod.
Tags: 4K, HDTV, UHD, UHDTV, AMOLED, LCD
Comments currently: 8
Discussion started: 10/04/12 07:37:04 PM
Latest comment: 10/08/12 11:43:41 AM
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how the heck it is going to be exotic for such a long time when there are 720p 4"-4.5" screens and 5" 1080p on its way with the cost of 30$(not retail).
they can force the market/customers to have those products for the price they want.
when apple/samsung/motorola/etc have 720p 640p 4" to 5" or similar screens on their phones, at the cost of 30$(not retail) you know that they can make a 12" combining 4 of those screens at the cost of 200$ with the proper circuits.
they could offer a 25" product with that resolution with a resonable price, but marketing has to do its tricks.
same thing goes on for the cpus also. the phones get a 25$ quad core arm, like that in sgs3, or the dual iphone 5 soc for the same price. a budget browsing and office pc would cost though 10 or 20 times more than that price. totally ridiculous marketing tricks.
10/04/12 07:37:04 PM]
Fuck that. Just bring on the 8K
TVs, like the ones that were recently tested in Japan during the Olympics. That is true resolution. Sharp, Panasonic and Sony already produced some prototypes, so go go go!!
10/05/12 08:30:06 AM]
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While I would like to see 8K as well, the bandwidth and processing power required to stream content at such a format are not yet available as far as I know. The top-of-the-line gaming PCs of today are going struggle running modern games in 4K resolution at 30 FPS, and running games in 8K will cause them to have a meltdown (although they should be able to handle video in both formats just fine).
10/05/12 12:34:42 PM]
4k is only useful if you want to sit 5 feet from a 50 inch screen, or 6 feet from a 70 inch screen. Farther than that, the difference with 1080p is not noticeable.
The limit is the acuity of the eye.
10/05/12 02:53:18 PM]
1080p will be the standard for a long time to come. At this point nothing supports 4k. Consoles don't, blu-ray doesn't, tv stations doesn't, streming video doesn't etc.. Most tv stations still only support 720p let alone 1080p. I mean hell just look how long it took TV stations to move to HD. Many of them didn't move to HD until 2008! i remember when HD first came out in 1998 no one supported it, it wasn't until 3 or 4 years later until you started seeing support for it and only then it was minimal support, because HD was still considered highend back then. So this would be correct in regards to 4k being exoctic for 5 years before it starts moving into the mainstream market. Once the research and development fees end in 3 years it will cause 4k tv's to drop rapidly in price much like HD tv's did and you will start seeing it enter into the highend mainstream market. But it's going to take another at least 3 ot 4 years after that when things become a lot more standard and prices drop for 4k tv's below 2,000 dolars until you start seeing 4k tv's reach the mainstream market.
10/05/12 06:35:04 PM]
In 1080p you can still see juggies even on High End PCs with highest details in games. To solve it we have to use Antialiasing which removes juggies but makes the image blurry so you loose a lot of details in games and the graphics quality with AA enabled is not so detailed and good as without AA. So in 1080p gaming we still have to compromise - without AA and with highest details settings have the best picture quality but see the juggies especially when moving or remove the juggies by enabling AA and see the blurry graphics with lower details.
In 4k resolution we will not see the juggies anymore even without enabling AA so we'll get the best graphics quality without any compromises in 4k resolution.
10/05/12 10:46:03 PM]
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Jughead is pleased.
10/08/12 11:43:41 AM]
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