The Consumer Electronics Association has slashed projections for sales of next-generation DVD players for 2006, while industry experts further advice consumers to wait with the adoption of either Blu-ray or HD DVD. The war between the two emerging standards has already caused consumer electronics companies over $300 million in revenues.
Even though both next-generation high definition digital video disc standards – Blu-ray and HD DVD – have their own competitive advantages and both offer increased image quality compared to the contemporary standard definition DVD, industry experts advise end-users not to bite on Black Friday’s price slashes and acquire a new player, as eventually only one standard survives and it is not obvious that users will be correct in their assumptions now and may eventually find themselves with a player without content.
“You don’t have to decide yet. History has taught us that only one of these formats is going to come out on top, and consumers who choose the wrong product will lose money, time, and, of course, quality home viewing entertainment. Wait to make this significant purchase until after the holidays, and after one of the two options appear to be leading the way to the next level of home entertainment,” said Dan Diotte, the founder of disc repair and maintenance company VenMill Industries.
Back in January, the Consumer Electronics Association predicted that more than 600 000 high definition DVD players, worth $484 million, would be sold this year. However, delays of shipments and manufacturing issues have twice caused the organization to lower its forecast, and it now expects U.S. sales to reach only 200 000 players, worth $181 million, by the end of 2006, The Washington Post has reported.
Mr. Diotte believes that there is no guarantee that either HD-DVD or Blu Ray will be the clear leader a year from now, meaning that next year sales of next-generation DVD players may also be lower than expected, which will cost consumer electronics companies another hundreds of millions revenues not received. For consumers, the war may result in lower amount of content available for next-gen DVDs and, if the consumers invest in one format that will eventually disappear, they will lose the investment and need to re-purchase a player, discs, accessories and so on.
One of the ways to revive sales of next-generation players is to develop a player that will support both Blu-ray and HD DVD, making a choice obvious for consumers. However, both consumer electronics companies that planned such players – LG Electronics and Samsung Electronics – said they had dumped the projects.
So far Toshiba’s HD DVD has been slightly more successful on the market with five-seven players available starting at $320 in the U.S. and over 160 titles in English and Japanese. Sony’s Blu-ray is currently supported by three players and over 60 BD titles on the market.
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Discussion started: 11/24/06 07:14:19 AM
Latest comment: 11/27/06 05:12:47 PM
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1.
Duh. I didn't need someone to tell me this...
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Posted by: anon

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Date: 11/24/06 07:14:19 AM]
2.
I'm glad an Industry Expert has spoken up... I just couldn't make up my mind for myself.
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Posted by: boner

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Date: 11/24/06 01:26:01 PM]
3.
Maybe both formats will survive ;
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Posted by: ron

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Date: 11/25/06 01:05:11 AM]
4.
HD DVD Forever Screw Blu Ray
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Posted by: Fuck Blu Ray

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Date: 11/25/06 07:14:15 AM]
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Blu Ray Forever Screw HD DVD
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Posted by: Fuck HD DVD

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Date: 11/26/06 09:58:28 AM]
5.
If your "wait until after the holidays" theory is correct...I can tell you right now that HD-DVD will win the format war.
Long story, but I acquired a free HD-DVD drive for my xbox 360...so I went out to buy some content. Everywhere I went, HD-DVD's were picked over and almost all sold out. Meanwhile the Bluray selections looked like they hadn't even been touched. It was like this at Best Buy, Circuit City and Walmart. Heck, at Walmart they only had 5 hd-Dvd's in stock...because the rest had been sold. Yet there were stacks and stacks of available bluray discs.
And also, just out of curiosity i've been following sales of 360's HD-DVD external drive....and almost all of the main retailers in the Indianapolis area have sold out of them.
This format war is shaping up to be JUST like the Beta/VHS war in the 80's. Sony lost that war, and I bet Sony loses this war too.
HD-DVD's are cheaper and HD-DVD players are MUCH, MUCH cheaper. Seriously..why would anyone with half a brain pay $1000 dollars for a bluray player when you can buy an HD-DVD player with the exact same quality for $499?
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Posted by: Brad

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Date: 11/25/06 11:34:54 AM]
+ expand thread (1 answer)
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The last paragraph pretty much sums it up. No one is going to pay more for essentially the same thing. A blu ray disk may hold more, but it costs quite a bit more too.
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Posted by: kail

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Date: 11/26/06 08:08:20 AM]
6.
One thing I expect of any credible reporter is the ability to spell correctly; specifically here, the difference between "advice" (noun) and "advise" (verb):
ad‧vice  /ædˈvaɪs/ –noun
1. an opinion or recommendation offered as a guide to action, conduct, etc.: I shall act on your advice.
ad‧vise  /ædˈvaɪz/ –verb (used with object)
1. to give counsel to; offer an opinion or suggestion as worth following: I advise you to be cautious.
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Posted by: puggle

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Date: 11/26/06 12:19:53 AM]
7.
I doubt it's affected the content providers' bottom line, but for me I don't buy discs anymore.
I don't buy DVDs much anymore because I hate "double dipping" on the same titles especially with HD version getting out there. And I haven't started on either HD-DVD or Blu-ray since nothing's settled in this war yet. My DVD collection has gone from growing by 5 titles per month to around 1 every three months.
Have these companies learned nothing from SACD vs. DVD-Audio? There's a possibility that both formats in a war can end up losing.
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Posted by: lonechicken

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Date: 11/27/06 06:14:23 AM]
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This is what one gets when there are vertically integrated companies in a near monopoly market. Sony won't support a competing standard and witholds its video library. The few large movie studios withold their support unless their is strong DRM infection included and controls to ensure you only play material on devices they deem acceptable. This is like audio redux. While the quality of audio could have leaped well beyond red book CD quality, it is mired in a sea of standards: DVD Audio, SACD, DTS, Dolby Digital, Lossless Meridian, etc. While they RIAA members kill those possible advances they sue consumers who move down market into lower quality mp3 compressed audio. If the horse and buggy industry had behaved like this we'd be driving Fords on the left side of the road, GM's on the right, some with gas pedals to the right of the brakes, some to the left ...there'd be so many collisions the move to the automobile may have been stopped. Alas, progress was achieved, though there is little hope of that in the audio/video industry.
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Posted by: bDerek

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Date: 11/27/06 05:12:47 PM]
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