Thanks to launch of two new next-generation game consoles – Microsoft Xbox One and Sony PlayStation 4 – sales of gaming hardware will grow this year, according to International Data Corp. Thanks to wider geographical availability, lower price and potentially better games thanks to higher performing system-on-chip, Sony’s PlayStation 4 will outsell Xbox One from Microsoft.
A new connected game and entertainment console forecast from IDC)concludes that the number of game console bundles shipped worldwide in 2013 will be marginally higher than the 2012 total of approximately 33 million bundles, ending a four-year slide that began in 2009. The forecast also suggests that PS4 bundle sales will edge out X1 sales this holiday season due to a variety of factors, most notably the PS4's lower price point.
IDC predicts that prepaid full-game, micro-game, and add-on download revenue derived through connected console channels (Xbox Live, PlayStation Store and eShop) will exceed that of worldwide PC-based prepaid full-game, micro-game, and add-on download revenue (i.e., digital PC games distributed through Steam, Origin, and Amazon.com) for the first time this year. Connected console subscription revenue (Xbox Live Gold and PlayStation Plus) is also rising in 2013 while subscription-based PC game revenue (i.e., World of Warcraft) is in decline.
"The number of online console gamers around the globe is on pace to exceed 165 million by 2017. As a result, the opportunity to sell these gamers digital assets through Wii U, Xbox One, and PS4 online storefronts will grow substantially in the next several years." Ward adds that the Chinese government's recent decision to lift the ban on consoles should lead to millions of additional hardware bundle sales for the likes of Nintendo, Microsoft, and Sony within three years,” said Lewis Ward, research manager of gaming at IDC
The forecast also considers the outlook for gaming-capable smart TV, microconsole, and set-top box (STB) gaming. IDC anticipates that video game software revenue generated on smart TV, microconsole, and gaming-capable set-top box (STB) platforms from cable/telecom companies – and including cloud-streaming options from some of these providers – is rising quickly but will still represent less than 10% of all TV-centric, digital game-related spending in 2017.
"The differences between traditional game consoles, PCs connected to HDTV's, and a variety of set-top-boxes and smart TVs that can play games will eventually be semantic. It appears unlikely that Nintendo, Microsoft, or Sony will be driven out of the living room from a gaming perspective by 2017 as result of non-console competition from the likes of Valve/Steam, OUYA, cable/telecom companies, or related hardware and Web service providers,” explained Mr. Ward.