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IDC and Gartner Lower PC Sales Forecasts.

No Rebound This Year?

by Anton Shilov
06/10/2003 | 10:19 AM

Both biggest IT research companies have lowered their forecasts concerning PC sales in 2003 and 2004. Gartner Dataquest and IDC expect PC sales to grow in the range of just 6% this year because of hazy economic conditions.

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IDC research firm thinks that this year there will be sold 145.2 million personal, server and mobile computers based on chips from Intel or AMD. This is 6.3% more than in 2002; previous estimates indicated 6.9% growth this year. IDC also lowered its forecast for 2004 shipments, which are now expected to increase by 10.3%, rather than by 10.9%, News.com reported.

At the same time, the aggregate value of PC shipments this year is expected to decline 2.4%, but that looks likely to be followed by growth of 3.5% in 2004. Previously, IDC had expected revenue from shipments to fall 1.8% in 2003 and rise 2.9% the year after that.

Gartner Dataquest thinks upward trend in PC shipments will continue through the second quarter, but is also sure that yearly growth will not exceed 6.60%.

In 2002 PC shipments increased 1.5%, while in 2001 PC sales shrank.

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